USC Paredes vs Gondomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
26.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
5º
12º
7º
43
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PAR
5 - 1
FFC
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BMA
1 - 0
PAR
62%
23%
15%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 2
PAR
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 0
VAL
19%
25%
56%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +3 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
AMA
1 - 0
PAR
56%
25%
20%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GON
3 - 0
ADM
86%
10%
4%
|
40 | 14 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
GON
32%
23%
45%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ODO
1 - 0
GON
20%
21%
59%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
GON
0 - 0
SAL
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ACD
0 - 2
GON
10%
17%
74%
|
41 | 13 | 28 | 0 |