Pardinyes vs Alfarras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
33.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pardinyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
PUI
4 - 3
PAR
48%
22%
30%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 3
SOS
44%
22%
34%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
AIT
1 - 3
PAR
39%
22%
39%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 2
VIL
32%
22%
46%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
JUN
7 - 0
PAR
64%
18%
18%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Alfarras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 2
GIM
38%
22%
40%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ALF
0 - 1
ALG
56%
20%
25%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ALB
3 - 2
ALF
31%
22%
48%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ALF
1 - 1
AEM
71%
16%
13%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
TER
2 - 0
ALF
67%
17%
16%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |