Paranoá vs CDR Guará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paranoá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
PAR
2 - 1
LUZ
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
PAR
2 - 1
PAR
38%
24%
38%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
GAM
3 - 2
PAR
76%
15%
10%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
PAR
0 - 1
BRA
11%
18%
71%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
PAR
2 - 0
LUZ
33%
24%
43%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
CDR Guará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
GUA
2 - 2
DOM
33%
24%
43%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
CEI
3 - 1
GUA
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
BRA
3 - 3
GUA
87%
9%
3%
|
31 | 72 | 41 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
GUA
1 - 1
GAM
19%
21%
60%
|
30 | 63 | 33 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
CEI
8 - 2
GUA
79%
14%
7%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | -1 |