Sudamericano U20 Group B Round 1

Paraguay U20 vs Ecuador U20 analysis

Paraguay U20 Ecuador U20
62 ELO 52
0% Tilt 0%
2683º General ELO ranking 2956º
30º Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
68.1%
Paraguay U20
19.7%
Draw
12.2%
Ecuador U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
Paraguay U20
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.2%
Win probability
Ecuador U20
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Paraguay U20
-14%
-19%
Ecuador U20

ELO progression

Paraguay U20
Ecuador U20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Paraguay U20
Paraguay U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 1991
BRA
Brasil U20
3 - 1
Paraguay U20
PAR
71%
19%
11%
62 79 17 0
15 Feb. 1991
URU
Uruguay U20
2 - 1
Paraguay U20
PAR
63%
22%
16%
62 69 7 0
13 Feb. 1991
ARG
Argentina U20
3 - 2
Paraguay U20
PAR
61%
23%
17%
63 68 5 -1
09 Feb. 1991
PAR
Paraguay U20
2 - 1
Ecuador U20
ECU
68%
20%
12%
63 52 11 0
07 Feb. 1991
PAR
Paraguay U20
5 - 2
Perú U20
PER
70%
19%
11%
62 50 12 +1

Matches

Ecuador U20
Ecuador U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 1991
PAR
Paraguay U20
2 - 1
Ecuador U20
ECU
68%
20%
12%
52 63 11 0
07 Feb. 1991
URU
Uruguay U20
1 - 1
Ecuador U20
ECU
73%
18%
9%
52 69 17 0
05 Feb. 1991
PER
Perú U20
0 - 0
Ecuador U20
ECU
53%
25%
22%
52 50 2 0
03 Feb. 1991
ECU
Ecuador U20
4 - 3
Venezuela U20
VEN
65%
21%
14%
51 45 6 +1
11 May. 1988
BRA
Brasil U20
7 - 0
Ecuador U20
ECU
84%
11%
5%
51 76 25 0