Sudamericano U20 Fase Final round 2

Paraguay U20 vs Chile U20 analysis

Paraguay U20 Chile U20
60 ELO 63
-5.7% Tilt 8%
2916º General ELO ranking 2381º
28º Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
32.9%
Paraguay U20
24.9%
Draw
42.1%
Chile U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
Paraguay U20
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
42.1%
Win probability
Chile U20
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Paraguay U20
-3%
-12%
Chile U20

ELO progression

Paraguay U20
Chile U20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Paraguay U20
Paraguay U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Feb. 2025
COL
Colombia U20
4 - 0
Paraguay U20
PAR
64%
20%
16%
60 73 13 0
01 Feb. 2025
PAR
Paraguay U20
2 - 1
Chile U20
CHI
31%
25%
44%
60 65 5 0
30 Jan. 2025
PAR
Paraguay U20
1 - 0
Venezuela U20
VEN
45%
25%
30%
59 58 1 +1
28 Jan. 2025
URU
Uruguay U20
6 - 0
Paraguay U20
PAR
63%
21%
17%
60 75 15 -1
23 Jan. 2025
PER
Peru U20
1 - 2
Paraguay U20
PAR
34%
24%
42%
59 57 2 +1

Matches

Chile U20
Chile U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2025
CHI
Chile U20
1 - 2
Argentina U20
ARG
22%
23%
56%
65 79 14 0
01 Feb. 2025
PAR
Paraguay U20
2 - 1
Chile U20
CHI
31%
25%
44%
65 60 5 0
27 Jan. 2025
CHI
Chile U20
3 - 2
Peru U20
PER
64%
20%
16%
65 55 10 0
25 Jan. 2025
CHI
Chile U20
1 - 2
Uruguay U20
URU
32%
25%
43%
65 74 9 0
24 Jan. 2025
VEN
Venezuela U20
1 - 2
Chile U20
CHI
28%
24%
47%
65 58 7 0