Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 5-0
PAOK vs Valerenga IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
VIF
0 - 2
PAO
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
CSK
3 - 2
PAO
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
PAO
5 - 1
OLY
66%
22%
12%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
PAN
1 - 0
PAO
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
PAO
2 - 1
AEK
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
MFK
2 - 1
VIF
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
VIF
0 - 2
PAO
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
MIK
0 - 1
VIF
31%
25%
44%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
TRO
4 - 1
VIF
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
VIF
1 - 0
MIK
70%
19%
12%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |