PAOK vs Apollon Smyrnis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2000 |
OLP
2 - 1
PAO
55%
23%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
PAN
1 - 1
PAO
27%
24%
49%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1999 |
PAO
1 - 0
PRO
77%
16%
8%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1999 |
PAN
1 - 2
PAO
22%
24%
54%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
PAO
5 - 0
XAN
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Apollon Smyrnis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2000 |
APS
3 - 2
AEK
21%
24%
55%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1999 |
TRI
1 - 0
APS
47%
27%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1999 |
APS
0 - 2
AOK
54%
24%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
KAL
1 - 1
APS
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
PAN
3 - 1
APS
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |