Pancratius vs VUC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pancratius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
PAP
1 - 2
PAN
36%
24%
39%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
PAN
2 - 3
SJC
34%
23%
43%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
HVV
2 - 2
PAN
29%
24%
47%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
PAN
4 - 2
UVS
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
VEL
3 - 1
PAN
31%
24%
46%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
VUC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
VUC
1 - 1
QUI
44%
24%
32%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
VUC
2 - 1
PAP
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
NIE
2 - 2
VUC
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
VUC
3 - 0
ADO
44%
24%
33%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SCN
1 - 0
VUC
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |