Pancratius vs USV Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
38.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pancratius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
UIT
1 - 1
PAN
28%
23%
50%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
PAN
2 - 4
ZEE
53%
21%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
DEM
1 - 1
PAN
54%
21%
25%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
PAN
2 - 3
VVI
68%
17%
15%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
DED
3 - 0
PAN
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
USV
1 - 3
HOO
65%
19%
17%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
UIT
1 - 1
USV
17%
21%
62%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
USV
4 - 2
ZEE
66%
18%
15%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
DEM
0 - 3
USV
46%
23%
32%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
USV
5 - 0
VVI
70%
17%
13%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |