Panama vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
44.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
BOL
1 - 3
PAN
55%
24%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2011 |
USA
1 - 0
PAN
80%
14%
7%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2011 |
PAN
1 - 1
SLV
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 1
PAN
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
USA
1 - 2
PAN
80%
14%
7%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
URU
3 - 0
PAR
58%
22%
20%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 0
VEN
57%
23%
20%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 0
PAR
85%
11%
4%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
PAR
3 - 3
VEN
57%
23%
20%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 2
PAR
85%
11%
4%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | 0 |