Panama vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
20.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1941 |
PAN
5 - 2
URU
34%
22%
44%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1941 |
SLV
4 - 3
PAN
60%
19%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
ITA
7 - 0
PAN
82%
11%
7%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1941 |
CUW
3 - 3
PAN
27%
22%
51%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1938 |
PAN
1 - 2
SLV
68%
16%
16%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |