Pampilhosense vs Carapinheirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
60.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pampilhosense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
FEB
4 - 0
PAM
72%
16%
12%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
PAM
0 - 1
PEN
22%
22%
56%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ANC
2 - 2
PAM
50%
23%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
EIR
3 - 1
PAM
28%
23%
49%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CON
0 - 0
PAM
61%
20%
19%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Carapinheirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 0
LAG
84%
11%
5%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ACA
1 - 1
CAR
41%
24%
35%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
UNI
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ACA
0 - 1
CAR
33%
24%
43%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
4 - 0
TOC
60%
21%
20%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |