Pampilhosa vs Tocha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
30.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pampilhosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BEN
3 - 1
PAM
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PAM
2 - 3
PEN
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 2
PAM
16%
21%
63%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PAM
1 - 2
SOU
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
POM
1 - 4
PAM
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Tocha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TOC
3 - 0
CRA
85%
11%
4%
|
35 | 7 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
BOM
0 - 3
TOC
18%
22%
61%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
TOC
2 - 1
GDA
22%
25%
53%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | +3 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
TOC
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
BEN
2 - 2
TOC
41%
25%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |