Pampilhosa vs AD Nogueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pampilhosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
NAV
1 - 1
PAM
75%
17%
9%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
PAM
3 - 0
MAN
82%
12%
6%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
PAM
0 - 2
SER
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 0
PAM
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
PAM
1 - 0
TOU
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ADN
2 - 3
SOU
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
BEN
4 - 1
ADN
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ADN
1 - 1
ADM
64%
19%
17%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
NAV
1 - 1
ADN
76%
16%
7%
|
33 | 58 | 25 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ADN
2 - 2
MAN
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |