Palmese vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
20.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
REN
1 - 2
PAL
52%
23%
26%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PAL
6 - 2
VIG
26%
23%
52%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +4 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CAV
5 - 4
PAL
79%
12%
8%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 0
LEO
30%
23%
48%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ROC
2 - 2
PAL
64%
19%
18%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
SCO
52%
23%
26%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 0
MAR
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
NFR
24%
22%
54%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
USV
3 - 2
MAR
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
SIR
11%
20%
69%
|
31 | 58 | 27 | +1 |