Palmeiras vs Universitario Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 0
PAL
42%
27%
32%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAO
61%
21%
17%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
PAL
3 - 4
DYJ
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
COR
0 - 2
PAL
31%
28%
41%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 1
PAL
27%
27%
46%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
UNI
0 - 0
MAN
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
UNI
3 - 2
IVT
25%
23%
52%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
AYA
3 - 3
UNI
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
DYJ
26%
26%
49%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 0
UTC
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |