Copa do Brasil . Last 16
Global 3-0
Palmeiras vs Sampaio Correa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
4.4%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 1
PAL
22%
27%
52%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2019 |
SAM
0 - 1
PAL
14%
25%
61%
|
89 | 58 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
PAL
4 - 0
SAN
68%
20%
12%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
ATM
0 - 2
PAL
32%
27%
41%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 0
SLO
73%
18%
10%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
SAM
3 - 1
FER
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2019 |
SAM
0 - 1
PAL
14%
25%
61%
|
58 | 89 | 31 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 3
SAM
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
GLO
0 - 1
SAM
34%
31%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2019 |
SAM
0 - 2
CON
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |