Palmeiras vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
13.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 1
PAL
21%
25%
54%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAO
74%
18%
8%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BRA
0 - 2
PAL
18%
24%
59%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
ICA
1 - 0
PAL
18%
24%
58%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 0
GUA
72%
19%
9%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
JEC
4 - 2
PAY
64%
21%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
JEC
1 - 0
PAR
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
FFL
0 - 1
JEC
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
BOA
1 - 0
JEC
27%
28%
46%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
JEC
0 - 0
ICA
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |