Palmeiras vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
PPE
0 - 2
PAL
36%
27%
38%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 0
CHA
54%
26%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
PAL
4 - 0
SAO
33%
28%
40%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 0
PAL
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 1
FLU
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
AVA
2 - 2
SPO
26%
27%
47%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
VAS
1 - 0
AVA
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 2
GRE
22%
28%
50%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 1
AVA
77%
16%
7%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 1
FFL
30%
28%
42%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |