La Palma vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Palma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1997 |
BAL
0 - 0
LAP
49%
26%
25%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1997 |
LAP
0 - 3
SFE
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
CAD
2 - 1
LAP
36%
27%
37%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
LAP
2 - 0
UDR
86%
11%
3%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1997 |
LAP
3 - 0
AFC
43%
25%
31%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1997 |
LUC
1 - 0
CCF
41%
29%
31%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1997 |
AYA
5 - 0
LUC
61%
23%
16%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
LUC
0 - 1
MON
34%
28%
38%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
MAI
0 - 1
LUC
57%
23%
20%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
ICR
3 - 2
LUC
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |