Palillo vs Balsareny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
60.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-70%
+83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
SUR
4 - 0
PAL
30%
20%
50%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
PAL
3 - 3
SAN
80%
12%
8%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
PIP
1 - 3
PAL
31%
20%
48%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
FRU
4 - 1
PAL
55%
20%
26%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
PAL
0 - 2
CAR
60%
18%
22%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Balsareny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
FON
1 - 6
BSY
18%
20%
62%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
BAL
2 - 6
BSY
32%
21%
48%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BSY
7 - 0
AFC
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SUR
0 - 3
BSY
21%
20%
59%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
BSY
7 - 1
SAN
82%
11%
7%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |