Palestino vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
CSL
2 - 1
PAL
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
PAL
2 - 0
IQU
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
COQ
1 - 0
PAL
24%
25%
50%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
PAL
1 - 0
EVE
60%
23%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
PAL
2 - 2
UCH
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
UCO
1 - 4
OHI
51%
26%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
DLS
0 - 1
UCO
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
UCO
2 - 1
ULC
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
UCO
2 - 3
UNI
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2020 |
ACS
1 - 1
UCO
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -2 |