Palestino vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
38.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 1
PAL
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
PAL
0 - 4
CUR
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
COB
4 - 0
PAL
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
IQU
3 - 0
PAL
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
PAL
0 - 2
ACS
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
UCO
2 - 2
CSD
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
5 - 4
UCO
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
UCO
3 - 1
ACS
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
UCO
2 - 0
OHI
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
OVA
1 - 2
UCO
30%
24%
46%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |