Palestino vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
DLS
1 - 1
PAL
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
PAL
0 - 0
OHI
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
COB
1 - 0
PAL
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
PAL
0 - 3
ACS
45%
25%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
UCO
1 - 0
PAL
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
UCO
0 - 0
OHI
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
COL
4 - 2
UCO
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
CSL
4 - 1
UCO
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2006 |
UCO
4 - 1
DLS
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
UCO
1 - 2
SWA
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |