Palestino vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
39%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 2
SAN
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
OHI
1 - 1
PAL
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 2
IQU
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
SWA
0 - 0
PAL
42%
26%
33%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 1
UCH
42%
25%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
UCO
2 - 1
ANT
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
COL
3 - 0
UCO
44%
25%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +3 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
UCO
2 - 2
HUA
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
OHI
4 - 3
UCO
40%
26%
35%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
UCO
4 - 2
UNI
55%
22%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |