Palestino vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
50%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1978 |
UNI
0 - 0
PAL
63%
18%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
NAC
1 - 1
PAL
73%
15%
12%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1976 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
PAL
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1976 |
PAL
0 - 1
UNI
56%
21%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1976 |
PAL
1 - 0
PEÑ
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1978 |
ATM
1 - 1
SAO
59%
24%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1978 |
SAO
3 - 0
OPE
69%
18%
13%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
OPE
1 - 0
SAO
30%
26%
44%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
SAO
3 - 1
GRE
53%
26%
21%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1978 |
SAO
4 - 3
SPO
64%
22%
14%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |