Palestino vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.7%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
5.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
PAL
5 - 2
BAR
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 2
PAL
22%
22%
55%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
PAL
0 - 2
ACS
45%
26%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
PAL
0 - 0
UCH
42%
26%
33%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
OHI
1 - 0
PAL
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2021 |
CON
1 - 1
SWA
17%
21%
62%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
SWA
0 - 1
CON
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
SAU
2 - 1
CON
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
CON
1 - 0
UCO
10%
18%
72%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
CON
1 - 1
GVE
25%
27%
49%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |