Palencia vs Numancia B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
10.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
CEB
0 - 8
CFP
18%
24%
58%
|
47 | 17 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CFP
2 - 0
CDG
77%
17%
7%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
ISC
1 - 1
CFP
20%
27%
54%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
CFP
2 - 0
SAL
69%
20%
11%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ACF
2 - 1
CFP
26%
27%
47%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Numancia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
NUM
0 - 0
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
AST
2 - 1
NUM
30%
25%
45%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
NUM
0 - 0
BUR
15%
25%
60%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
NOR
0 - 0
NUM
28%
25%
47%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
NUM
0 - 1
CDH
42%
28%
30%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |