Palencia vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
34.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2008 |
LOG
1 - 1
CFP
44%
29%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
CFP
1 - 0
BAR
28%
30%
42%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
RUN
3 - 0
CFP
62%
24%
14%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
CFP
3 - 2
RSO
25%
29%
47%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
CUL
3 - 1
CFP
60%
24%
16%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2008 |
BUR
0 - 1
PEÑ
62%
23%
14%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
UBC
1 - 2
BUR
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 1
BUR
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
BUR
2 - 2
LOG
46%
30%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 0
BUR
50%
28%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |