Palencia vs Amurrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
9.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
SES
2 - 0
CFP
39%
30%
31%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
CFP
2 - 1
BAR
45%
29%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
ATH
1 - 2
CFP
46%
28%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
CFP
2 - 2
ZAM
42%
29%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
CDG
4 - 0
CFP
41%
30%
29%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
AMU
0 - 1
VAL
41%
28%
31%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
LOG
1 - 0
AMU
71%
19%
10%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
AMU
0 - 0
UNI
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
OVI
2 - 0
AMU
70%
20%
10%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
LEM
5 - 0
AMU
63%
23%
13%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |