Pala FC vs Aguiar da Beira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
64.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pala FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SOI
2 - 0
PAL
81%
13%
7%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
PAL
3 - 1
VCO
50%
22%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 1
PAL
29%
23%
48%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 5
OVI
14%
19%
68%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 3
MED
19%
21%
61%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Aguiar da Beira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 1
GIN
83%
12%
5%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SAB
1 - 1
AGU
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
AGU
3 - 0
CEL
85%
11%
4%
|
24 | 7 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 2
AGU
10%
18%
72%
|
24 | 7 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 0
AGU
40%
24%
36%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |