Paksi SE II vs Főnix Gold FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.1%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
6.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
9º
7º
21
7º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
93.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
93.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 23 |
12º
|
90.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
77.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 22.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 77.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paksi SE II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
PEC
2 - 0
PAK
77%
16%
8%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
PAK
2 - 0
FCD
67%
17%
16%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
BVO
2 - 1
PAK
34%
23%
43%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
PAK
3 - 2
GVC
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
MTK
1 - 3
PAK
58%
20%
22%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Főnix Gold FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
FOG
2 - 4
FER
9%
14%
76%
|
17 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
SZE
6 - 0
FOG
63%
20%
17%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
PEC
4 - 1
FOG
69%
19%
12%
|
17 | 53 | 36 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
FOG
3 - 3
FCD
20%
18%
62%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
BVO
3 - 0
FOG
77%
13%
10%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |