Paide III vs Joker analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.7%
Win probability
3.66
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.3%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.5%
5-0
7.9%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.2%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.3%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
6.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
6.5%
2.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 3
PAI
5%
12%
84%
|
51 | 20 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
POS
1 - 4
PAI
6%
12%
82%
|
51 | 20 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
TUL
0 - 2
PAI
5%
12%
83%
|
51 | 19 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
PAI
3 - 2
HJP
75%
14%
11%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
PAI
2 - 7
TJK
67%
16%
17%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Joker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
JOK
0 - 2
HJP
21%
21%
57%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 1
JOK
13%
15%
72%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
JOK
1 - 1
KUR
57%
19%
24%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
KOS
0 - 6
JOK
7%
13%
80%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
JOK
5 - 1
VJK
65%
18%
17%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |