Paide III vs Harju JK Laagri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.6%
17%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
PAI
6 - 0
VJK
92%
6%
2%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
PIR
1 - 6
PAI
7%
14%
79%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
PAI
2 - 0
FLO
95%
4%
1%
|
50 | 16 | 34 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
PAI
3 - 0
ESV
89%
8%
4%
|
50 | 18 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
SJL
0 - 1
PAI
19%
20%
61%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
HJP
7 - 1
KOS
94%
5%
1%
|
44 | 13 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
HJP
4 - 1
RUD
81%
11%
8%
|
44 | 11 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
VJK
1 - 0
HJP
8%
16%
76%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
HJP
12 - 1
PIR
88%
9%
3%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
FLO
1 - 5
HJP
8%
12%
80%
|
45 | 17 | 28 | 0 |