Paide II vs Alliance FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
64.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
PAI
4 - 1
AJA
68%
17%
15%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
VAN
0 - 4
PAI
72%
15%
13%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
PAI
2 - 1
FCP
11%
18%
71%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | +6 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
TJK
7 - 0
PAI
92%
6%
2%
|
29 | 58 | 29 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
PAI
7 - 0
FLO
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
JKJ
5 - 0
VAN
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
JKJ
4 - 1
VOR
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
TAM
4 - 0
JKJ
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
FCP
2 - 4
JKJ
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
JKJ
2 - 0
AJA
79%
15%
7%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |