Paide II vs Joker analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
35.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
VAN
3 - 1
PAI
65%
18%
16%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
PAI
2 - 3
SKA
76%
14%
10%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
PAI
0 - 3
TKA
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
TKA
1 - 2
PAI
62%
20%
18%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
SKA
0 - 2
PAI
39%
22%
39%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Joker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
JOK
1 - 1
KEI
25%
22%
53%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
JOK
2 - 5
VJK
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2017 |
JKJ
5 - 0
JOK
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
JOK
2 - 1
JKJ
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
VJK
2 - 2
JOK
46%
23%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |