Pagham vs Bemerton Heath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.8%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
78.5%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.6%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pagham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
PAG
1 - 1
POR
17%
19%
64%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PAG
0 - 3
COW
58%
20%
23%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
FAR
4 - 0
PAG
77%
13%
10%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BRO
3 - 2
PAG
42%
22%
36%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
PAG
2 - 0
ALR
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Bemerton Heath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
HYD
2 - 4
BEM
14%
17%
69%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BEM
4 - 0
LAV
76%
14%
10%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
BEM
39%
22%
39%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
BEM
4 - 0
BLA
87%
9%
4%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
COW
1 - 2
BEM
8%
13%
79%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | +1 |