Pagham vs Varndeanians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pagham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
SAL
2 - 1
PAG
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
PAG
0 - 1
HAS
71%
17%
13%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
BEX
1 - 0
PAG
73%
15%
11%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
EAS
1 - 1
PAG
51%
22%
28%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
PAG
2 - 2
PEA
46%
22%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Varndeanians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
VAR
7 - 0
EAS
88%
9%
4%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
LIN
1 - 4
VAR
48%
22%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
VAR
2 - 1
LOX
63%
18%
19%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
EAS
3 - 0
VAR
77%
14%
8%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CRA
2 - 2
VAR
76%
14%
11%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |