Paganese vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
38.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
LEC
2 - 1
PAG
42%
29%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
JUS
0 - 0
PAG
40%
29%
31%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
PAG
0 - 0
ARZ
24%
26%
49%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SOR
0 - 0
PAG
54%
26%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
PAG
0 - 0
USF
29%
28%
44%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
USC
2 - 0
FCV
77%
16%
7%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
CAT
1 - 0
USC
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
VIC
1 - 2
USC
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
USC
2 - 0
ACC
74%
17%
10%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
USC
2 - 0
NOV
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |