Paganese vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
38.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
VER
0 - 0
PAG
61%
24%
16%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
VNZ
1 - 0
PAG
67%
21%
12%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
PAG
1 - 1
SSM
40%
26%
33%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
PAG
0 - 0
TER
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
PAG
1 - 0
UNI
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
CAV
3 - 0
LEC
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
CAV
2 - 1
TER
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
CAV
1 - 1
USC
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
NOV
1 - 1
CAV
39%
29%
33%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
CAV
0 - 0
ASS
47%
27%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |