Paganese vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
53.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
USA
1 - 0
PAG
66%
21%
13%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
PAG
0 - 0
SAL
29%
27%
44%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
BV5
1 - 0
PAG
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
PAG
1 - 1
PAV
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2010 |
VER
4 - 0
PAG
66%
22%
12%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
SPA
0 - 2
ACL
48%
28%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
PAV
1 - 0
SPA
21%
25%
54%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
SPA
1 - 1
USC
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
ASS
2 - 1
SPA
27%
26%
48%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2010 |
RAV
1 - 1
SPA
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |