Paganese vs Cosenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
35.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ASM
0 - 4
PAG
34%
27%
40%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
PAG
2 - 0
MES
46%
27%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MON
0 - 2
PAG
56%
24%
21%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
PAG
1 - 2
FCC
44%
27%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
PAG
1 - 1
FIA
29%
28%
44%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
NUO
2 - 2
FON
48%
27%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 0
NUO
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2017 |
NUO
2 - 2
REG
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
USV
1 - 1
NUO
13%
23%
64%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
ASM
0 - 2
NUO
26%
26%
49%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |