Paduano vs Olaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paduano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
PAD
2 - 1
ANG
39%
24%
37%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
PAD
1 - 4
SAM
37%
25%
38%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CER
1 - 0
PAD
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
ANG
2 - 1
PAD
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
PAD
0 - 1
GOY
23%
24%
54%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
QUE
0 - 3
OLA
15%
22%
63%
|
53 | 19 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
OLA
1 - 0
GOY
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 2
OLA
27%
25%
48%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
OLA
0 - 1
POR
51%
27%
23%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
AME
0 - 2
OLA
50%
24%
27%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |