Padroense FC U17 vs Tondela U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
11.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
7º
5º
26
5º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
39 | 42 |
1º
|
18% | |
|
1º
|
40 | 41 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 41 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 27 |
5º
|
85% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
85% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 19 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 6 |
9º
|
97% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
85% | 15% |
|
Possible next round
|
15% | 85% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padroense FC U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PAD
3 - 0
MER
70%
17%
14%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 3
PAD
18%
18%
64%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ANA
0 - 3
PAD
7%
12%
81%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
PAD
0 - 4
FAM
32%
22%
46%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
PAD
29%
21%
49%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Tondela U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
TON
0 - 2
PAÇ
23%
21%
57%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MER
2 - 2
TON
52%
20%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BOA
3 - 1
TON
78%
14%
9%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
TON
2 - 1
MAR
58%
20%
23%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
TON
3 - 1
PAL
84%
11%
6%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |