Padiham vs Charnock Richard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
38.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padiham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
PAD
1 - 2
PRH
44%
22%
34%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
WYT
0 - 1
PAD
70%
17%
14%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PAD
0 - 1
AFC
29%
22%
50%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
PAD
3 - 1
LBR
39%
22%
39%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BUR
0 - 2
PAD
37%
23%
39%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Charnock Richard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
VAU
1 - 1
CHA
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ALI
1 - 3
CHA
51%
20%
28%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
BCF
1 - 0
CHA
89%
9%
3%
|
26 | 56 | 30 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 5
LIT
79%
13%
9%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 1
LBR
43%
22%
36%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |