Paderborn 07 II vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.7%
35.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
1º
12º
11º
3
9º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
8º
|
4 | 62 |
1º
|
34% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 57 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 56 |
3º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 55 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 55 |
5º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 52 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 51 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 49 |
8º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 49 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 46 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
7 | 45 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 45 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 44 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 40 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 39 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
3 | 38 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 33 |
17º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 31 |
18º
|
30.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
79.5% | 58.5% |
|
Possible relegation
|
7.5% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
11.5% | 31.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn 07 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
S04
1 - 1
PAD
33%
25%
42%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
PAD
3 - 0
BOR
17%
23%
60%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
DRO
2 - 2
PAD
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
HAV
2 - 7
PAD
66%
19%
15%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
PAD
7 - 0
SCV
68%
18%
14%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
DIE
3 - 0
WIE
52%
23%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
FCB
3 - 0
DIE
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
DIE
2 - 1
STE
31%
22%
47%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
EIN
1 - 0
DIE
35%
23%
41%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
DIE
6 - 4
FSV
39%
23%
37%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |