Liga MX Apertura Jor. 3

Pachuca vs Cruz Azul analysis

Pachuca Cruz Azul
80 ELO 83
5.9% Tilt 12.6%
248º General ELO ranking 431º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
41.2%
Pachuca
25.4%
Draw
33.4%
Cruz Azul

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
Pachuca
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.4%
Win probability
Cruz Azul
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Pachuca
+16%
+16%
Cruz Azul

ELO progression

Pachuca
Cruz Azul
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pachuca
Pachuca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Jul. 2011
PUE
Puebla
2 - 2
Pachuca
PAC
40%
26%
34%
80 77 3 0
24 Jul. 2011
PAC
Pachuca
1 - 4
Santos Laguna
SAN
43%
25%
32%
80 82 2 0
07 Jul. 2011
PAC
Pachuca
2 - 2
Deportivo Saprissa
SAP
65%
20%
16%
80 72 8 0
01 May. 2011
PAC
Pachuca
1 - 1
Necaxa
NEC
62%
23%
16%
80 76 4 0
24 Apr. 2011
QRO
Querétaro
1 - 1
Pachuca
PAC
28%
25%
48%
80 68 12 0

Matches

Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Jul. 2011
CAZ
Cruz Azul
2 - 1
Atlas Guadalajara
ATS
62%
22%
16%
83 76 7 0
24 Jul. 2011
TIG
Tigres UANL
1 - 1
Cruz Azul
CAZ
37%
27%
37%
83 81 2 0
16 May. 2011
MOR
CA Morelia
3 - 0
Cruz Azul
CAZ
46%
25%
29%
84 82 2 -1
13 May. 2011
CAZ
Cruz Azul
2 - 0
CA Morelia
MOR
56%
24%
21%
84 82 2 0
08 May. 2011
ATL
Atlante FC
0 - 0
Cruz Azul
CAZ
38%
26%
35%
84 78 6 0
X