Pacajus vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
69.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pacajus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
PAC
1 - 1
MAR
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
ICA
0 - 0
PAC
35%
23%
42%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
CRA
0 - 1
PAC
33%
24%
43%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2022 |
PAC
1 - 0
IGU
42%
25%
34%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
CAU
2 - 1
PAC
31%
23%
46%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
FER
2 - 0
ICA
83%
12%
4%
|
60 | 32 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
FER
11%
23%
67%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 3
FER
20%
25%
55%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
CAU
80%
13%
7%
|
60 | 33 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
IGU
1 - 1
FER
11%
18%
71%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |