Oxford City vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
39.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2001 |
NOT
2 - 1
OXF
68%
18%
13%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2001 |
OXF
1 - 1
POR
30%
26%
45%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
OXF
3 - 1
SWA
39%
26%
35%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
BRO
6 - 2
OXF
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2001 |
OXF
0 - 2
REA
15%
23%
62%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2001 |
PLY
0 - 0
ROC
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2001 |
ROC
2 - 1
PLY
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
ROC
1 - 0
MAN
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2001 |
BPO
3 - 1
ROC
52%
25%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2001 |
ROC
3 - 1
LIN
51%
25%
25%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |