Oxford City vs Cirencester Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
OXF
0 - 2
STO
21%
23%
56%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 2
OXF
69%
19%
12%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 1
OXF
66%
20%
15%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
OXF
0 - 3
DID
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
OXF
5 - 0
WEY
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cirencester Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
CIR
0 - 3
SAL
19%
23%
58%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CIR
2 - 1
BAS
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
TIV
2 - 2
CIR
28%
26%
47%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
CHE
6 - 1
CIR
67%
20%
13%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CIR
0 - 1
LEA
31%
24%
45%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |